Saturday, 25 June 2016

EU referendum vote - the real winners and losers

The winners


The British public
Whether you voted leave or remain, this is a victory for the people. In recent years, the EU has proved to be a failed project and governance has returned to governments that are voted in by the people.

Boris Johnson
Bojo was a Europhile who in the late stages switched to leave.  Yes, he was opportunistic and yes he made a gamble. But it was a correct gamble despite what all the polls were saying right up to the vote.  Had there been a remain victory he would be finished right now.

Nicola Sturgeon and the SNP
Despite supporting remain, the Sturgeon and the SNP have got the result it wanted, it now has the momentum and moral backing for a second independence referendum thanks to a 60/40 vote for remain.  And it is likely to win such a referendum.

Ruth Davidson
The Scottish Tory leader was the only Remainer Tory who came out of the referendum campaign with any credit.  She was an unknown who was wheeled out in the last BBC EU debate at Wembley alongside her fellow 'B' team Sadiq Khan and Frances O'Grady then came out of it as a political big hitter.

The losers


David Cameron
He gambled and lost, nothing more needs to be said.

The europhiles within the conservative party
Cameron went for the referendum in order to prevent more eurosceptic Tory MPs from defecting to UKIP, now the europhiles are isolated.  I would not be surprised if the europhiles form a breakaway party or even defect to the Lib Dems.

Jeremy Corbyn
For a man who has been a long time critic of the EU from a left point of view, this has been a major misjudgement.  If he had stuck with his principles and led the leave campaign his standing would have been greatly enhanced and given Labour a great electoral boost.  Instead now his future is uncertain.

The Labour party and the left in general
From the results it was the Labour heartlands in the North and Midlands that carried Leave vote.  It was working class voters of all colours who basically won it for leave, the very same voters whom the remainers, especially from the left, labelled as racists, xenophobes etc.  The left failed to account for the working class grievances which included immigration.  The likes of Eddie Izzard, Bob Geldolf and Charlotte Church sneering at the leave vote only enhanced this gulf.  Labour is in danger of being a party of inner London, Manchester and Liverpool and a party for student radicals.  Unless this is resolved I can see a mass exodus of its vote to UKIP at the next election.




Sunday, 12 June 2016

Amber Rudd

When Amber Rudd was appointed climate change secretary by Cameron after the 2015 general election, I had thought of her as a very astute and intelligent politician, especially when she saw through the politicized aspects of the debate.  Definitely someone who was leadership material post-Cameron.  However, things took a different turn when she took part as one of the Remain team in the ITV EU referendum debate the other night, along Angela Eagle and Nicola Sturgeon. They took on Labour MP Gisela Stuart, Tory Minister Andrea Leadsom and Boris Johnson.  I had expected Rudd to put up a very strong case instead she and her fellow Remain team-mates kept using fear tactics and in Rudd's case using personal attacks on Johnson.

First she insinuated that Johnson's support for Brexit is linked to his leadership ambitions.


Then she came up this personal smear in her closing statement


The Brexiters must have been jumping for joy when they saw that.

Saturday, 11 June 2016

Battle of Adrianople 378 AD

Whilst I was considering whether to buy Rome Total War 2 for the PC, I came across this 4 part set of wonderfully made videos showing the problems of the late Roman Empire that led to the its defeat of the battle of Adrianople using the Rome Total War 2 engine.  As a background the Romans were defeated by a barbarian army of refugees/migrants who then had the right to settle within the empire.




Thursday, 9 June 2016

Do as I say but not as I do

Obviously the gender equality and anti-discrimination directives have not yet reached the upper echelons of the EU.